Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000221 0.000247 0.000275 0.000307 0.000343 0.000381 0.000427
2025-02-09 0.000185 0.000221 0.000261 0.000311 0.000370 0.000438 0.000522
2025-02-16 0.000159 0.000200 0.000250 0.000314 0.000394 0.000492 0.000620
2025-02-23 0.000137 0.000182 0.000237 0.000313 0.000412 0.000540 0.000715
2025-03-02 0.000119 0.000164 0.000223 0.000307 0.000423 0.000577 0.000800
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.000151 0.000213 0.000305 0.000438 0.000621 0.000895
2025-03-16 0.000094 0.000140 0.000206 0.000306 0.000454 0.000667 0.000998
2025-03-23 0.000086 0.000132 0.000200 0.000307 0.000471 0.000716 0.001109
2025-03-30 0.000078 0.000123 0.000192 0.000305 0.000483 0.000757 0.001210
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000117 0.000188 0.000307 0.000501 0.000807 0.001330
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000111 0.000183 0.000307 0.000516 0.000855 0.001450
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000104 0.000176 0.000303 0.000523 0.000889 0.001549
2025-04-27 0.000058 0.000103 0.000179 0.000317 0.000561 0.000980 0.001758
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000099 0.000177 0.000321 0.000585 0.001049 0.001935
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000095 0.000174 0.000324 0.000607 0.001117 0.002116
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000090 0.000169 0.000324 0.000621 0.001171 0.002278
2025-05-25 0.000043 0.000084 0.000162 0.000318 0.000625 0.001208 0.002409
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000080 0.000157 0.000316 0.000636 0.001259 0.002573
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000077 0.000154 0.000316 0.000652 0.001318 0.002760
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000074 0.000151 0.000318 0.000669 0.001384 0.002964
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000070 0.000147 0.000315 0.000679 0.001435 0.003143
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000068 0.000145 0.000318 0.000698 0.001506 0.003371
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000065 0.000142 0.000318 0.000714 0.001572 0.003595